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[Rudiments sheet]
nd [wm 1794]
No headings
Particularly advantageous in War
1. Rate of profit per cent on each Note the greater
2. No of Notes issued before arrival at par the greater. No 1 x No 2
3. Addition to the currency the greater
1. Profit by laying up the price of Stock by taking out so much - this is
confined to War
2. then[?] lays no credit for the Surplus Sinking Fund
3. – nor for reduction of interest
{ Advantages
Financial
Period I
From the opening of the first issue to the arrival at 3 per Cents at par. }
{ No 1 Profit by difference between selling price of Notes (100) and buying price
of Stocks
No 5 do by difference between yearly and half-yearly interest?
No 2 do by interest forborne on Notes in the hands of Flying Annuitants
4 /5/ Profit by Notes lost and uncompensated. }
{ The circulation buy[?] established Receivers of public money might be obliged
to change their cash into Notes instanter. 6[?] Exchequer Bills interest
lowered. }
{ Period II
From the arrival of 3 per Cent Stock at par to the extinction of the last portion
of redeemable Stock Annuities by its conversion into Note Annuities.
No 1 ceases
No 2 is stationary; or rather diminishes.
No 3 is stationary; or rather diminishes.
No 4 encreases.
5 Approach of the profits of Period III is accelerated.
5(a) Note India Bonds interest lowered Period III From the conversion of the last
portion of Stock into Notes to the last mass of Paper of the first issue into
Paper of the 2d Issue.
8. Profit by difference between the price of the 1st issue and that of the second
= 1/5 of the whole amount
Nos 3, 2 4 5 6 7 continue but at a different rate. }
Period I
No 1. Profit by difference between selling price of Notes and buying price of
Stock.
No 2. Do by interest forborne, viz:
1. In the hands of Flying Annuitants constantly
2. In do Standing Annuitants accidentally and temporarily.
No 3 Do by Interest of Notes while kept in the hands of Government.
No 4 Do by Notes lost or /Interest on those/ mislaid for a time. and
uncompensated.
No 6. Do (if taken) by difference between Half Yearly and Yearly Interest.
No 5. Do by lowering interest on annual Exchequer Bills - Quere Navy Bills
&tc?
No 7. Do by saving on expence of management
No 8. Do by fractional difference of interest.
No 9. Reduction of 5 & 4 per Cent.
Period III
No 7. Saving of a great part of the expence of Management now paid to the Bank.
Now refuse to issue large Notes, such as it is convenient to Hoard: issue only
small ones, such as will not satisfy to will the demand of Hoarders. }
{ Note at the commencement /close/ of Period III /II/, there being no Stock to
buy up, what Annuities the Sinking Funds bring up must be in Annuity Notes. }
{ Advantages to Individuals
P + 1 1. Dividends at home.
F P + 3 2 Selling without loss
F + 2 3. Interest for […?]
F P + 5 4. Brokerage saved
F P + 4 5. Begging never[?] be done
P + 6. Settlement more commodious[?]
P 7. Compound interest feasible }
Effects – Even[?]
The Office of Notes would be indefinite but only because the creation[?] of them
would be indefinite. It would convert the […?] part of the Annuities i:e: of the
Public debt into circulating money – and thereby though it would not enable
wealth (by the […?] of possible[?] labour) it would debase the […?] […?] by the
[…?] which […?] […?] […?] […?]
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* It may be almost instantaneous, if the redemption be made without warning, on
payment of principal and with interest up to the day: which may be done without
hardship as the expelled Stock holders will have the Sub[?] Annuities to resort
to at the same price.
The smallest sums may be redeemed first because to them the change will be most
advantageous.
The mode of paying off must be as summary[?] as of buying in.
Ch. Miscell. Effects continued
Period II
1
{The conversion in question being expected to be} /It will depend upon Government
to render the conversion in question/ indiforcibly[?] rapid, this /and thence
this/ period {will be} proportionably short. p. 1
2.
Stocks being got up to par, the addition to the quantum of currency in
circulation will cease. p. 1
3
A diminution will then take place of the addition. p. 2.
3(a)
Of The remaining influx of Note-Annuity Note paper, though equal to the whole
remaining mass of Redeemable Stock Annuities, no part can now go to make any
permanent addition to the quantum of money in actual circulation. p. 2.
4.
During the whole of this period, Stock Annuities will not be susceptible either
of rise or fall. p. 3
5.
- Nor will Note Annuities be susceptible of rise. p. 3.
Ch. Miscell. Effects continued. Period II.
6
But (the cessation of the issue, and the consequent risk being in prospect) the
effect will be that at the close of the period the rapidity of the issue will
encrease. p. 4.
7.
Stock-jobbing will cease – p. 4.
8
The quantum of business and profit of the Stock Broker, may come to be diminished
or encreased as it may happen.
p. 4.
8(a[?])
In the case of Trusts, the only real use of the Broker is to serve as a witness
of the identity of the person. p. 4.
9
Throughout this period, property will be convertible , at a moments ‘warning’,
from the shape of ready money into that of a source of income, and vice versa,
without profit or loss. p. 5.
10
[…?] paper growing scarce, Bank and Bankers will re-appear.
Miscell. Effects continued
Period III.
{ Period II
At the commencement of this period, Notes would take an immediate and rapid rise.
p. 1.
Not a rise: but that price will be kept down by the apprehension of being paid
off or reduced. See No 11. The premium could not possibly rise quite so high as
the amount of the interest for the time yet to run.
2
- partly from real scarcity – partly from speculation p. 1 }
3.
While the demand is on the encrease the supply will be on the decrease. p. 1.
4
Continuation. p. 2
5.
In time of peace, the casual part /branch/ of the Sinking Fund viz. the surplus
of taxes will soon outstrip the certain. p. 2
4(a)
The encrease of opulence contributes to the scarcity in both ways at once. p. 2.
6 or 9
Particular causes of scarcity applying to particular portions of this paper –
viz:
1. Demand from the Hoarders in the way of compound interest. p. 3
7
Hoarders at simple interest, though they want no more paper, will not now part
with what they have. p. 3.
Miscell. Effects continued
Period III.
8. {9}
Flying Annuitants do not so much as hoard what they have got themselves, p. 4.
9. or 8*.
10. Yet will give occasion to hoarding on the part of Government. p. 5
viz: to the amount of the interest on the whole mass of Flying Annuities.
7(a)
A Hoarder at simple interest, to take advantage of the premium, must pass on
paper to the amount of the year’s interest. p. 4.
9(a)
Profit by such hoarding calculated. p. 6.
10
While the prospect of rise continues, there will be a general tendency to avoid
parting with this paper – even on the part of the Flying Annuitants – and
therefore to employ cash only to pay debts. p. 7. }
10(a)
Cases of debt particularized.
Miscell. Effects continued
Period III
{ 11
Government will accordingly pay its Debts with cash rather than paper. p. 7.
12
Formation of a Bank of deposit at this period – a probable event. p. 8
12(a)
This will add nothing to wealth as Bankers paper does – but will save carriage,
counting. p. 9 &c
12(a)
Reference for advantages of paper.
12(b)
Use of paper instead of cash is matter of convenience only not necessity –
Witness the Silver of /in/ France Copper in Russia & Sweden. p. 8.
12(c)
One such Bank sufficient – but in the hands of Government . p. 9.
10
{ The amount of the premium might be added to 8 per Cent interest, stock of the
Usury Laws. p. 10 }
11
{ The extra price put upon a second emission might be higher than the premium. p.
11. }
Though the price would not be much raised, there would be a general disposition
to take more at a higher price, the continuance being assured.
Similar Items
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Title: [[Rudiments sheet] July 8 1800]Description: [Rudiments sheet] July 8 1800 Annuity Notes Effects Contents Ch. < > Effects Period I Ch. Effects Period III 1 From the commencement of this period the paper of the first emission will bear a premium. p. 1 2 The higher, the higher the class in the list of subscribing classes. p. 1 3 The lower, as Period IV approaches 4 The current mass of Ann y Note paper being henceforward continually impounded and aggregated to the Flagrant mass, Bank and Banker’s paper if before checked, will in proportion be reintroduced. p. 2. - would be, were it not for the 2 d emission. See 7. 5 The extra-influx of wealth and enhancement of prices will /would/ now cease, so far as depended upon the influx of currency produced by the emission of Non Annuity Paper. /were it not for the 2 d issue./ p. 2. Ch. < > Effects Period III 6 Four classes of customers for paper of the 2 d or reduced issue.. 1. Flying Annuitants a 2 d […?] 2. Annuitants paid off from the first issue. 3. Spontaneous Emigrants from the first to the 2 d, for the sake of respite from a 3 d. This will depend on the opinion of the probable duration of the 2 d. 4. Maiden Annuitants Customers coming in for Annuity Notes to yield permanent income now for the first time. 7 The paper of the 2 d issue will be seized with avidity by the Flying Annuitants discharged out of the first issue. p. 4. 8 It will be gradually taken out of their hands & impounded by the Hoarding Annuitants of the 2 d issue. p. 4 9 Each succeeding[?] purchaser is an enemy of every preceding one, of the preceding issue. p. 5 10 - or of the same issue. p. 5. 11 The opposition of interests is irreconciliable. p. 5. 12 Thence the plan is incapable of being defeated by combination. p. 5. Ch. Effects Period III 13 On the introduction of the paper of the 2 d emission, the addition to the mass of currency will commence /take place/ anew, by the portion taken out and kept in circulation by Flying Annuitants. p. 6. 14 As this second extra-influx spreads, the several symptoms of Plethora produced by Period I will reappear. p. 6 1. Encrease of produce of labour 2 Encrease of price of land 3 D o of labour 15 One of the effects of the measure will be to render it morally impossible for the rate of interest ever to rise again. p. 7. For 16 For, it is never raised any where but by money borrowed by Government. p. 7. 17 It will not now be ever raised again on the money borrowed by Government. p. 8 18 The continuance of the Income Tax as a War-Tax is enough to prevent the annual extra demand for money for war purposes from being ever equal to the annual demand for Governm t Annuities for the purpose of income even permanent: much more when temporary income is added to the account. p. 8. 9. The additions made to capital by reduction of interest will be made at the expence of future income. i:e: 7/ 8 at the expence of future expenditure.
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Title: [[Rudiments sheet] 7 July 1800]Description: [Rudiments sheet] 7 July 1800 Annuity Notes Ch. < > Advantages Financial Contents IV N o IV should have come before this. Ch. Advantage Financial V Future Wars { 1 The rise given by the measure to the price of Government Annuities in exchange for money is not superseded by, but stopped upon, that given by the Income Tax. p. 1 } { 2 Inference to the proof given in Ch. (Effects) of that part of the efficacy of the measure which consists in the preserving the rate of interest from being raised by future loans. p. 2. } { 3 Conclusion - that future wars will be carried on on cheaper terms than the present. p. 3. 4 Illustration, on the supposition of a fresh war, a year after the peace, p. 4. Elevative force (in regard to the price of Stocks) - = 84 Depression - = 24 } Ch. Adv. Financ. V. Future Wars { 5 Not likely that the sale should be sunk by any eventual number of years of war. p. 5 5 (a) Miseries of war not the point in question here. p. 5 6 Allowance to be made for the depretiation of money on the assumed terms of future loans. p. 5. 7 Objection - Rival powers will encrease their national wealth & War-Efforts at the same time. - Answer - but to equal amounts. } { Ch. Advant. Financal Present - War Loans. 1 Ann[?] profit or saving will result from time[?] proportioned to the defalcation from the quantity of Government Annuities kept from loading the market. p. 1 2 Calculations or Assumptions necessary to an Estimate of this profit. 1. Time by which Stocks will be at par in consequence of this measure p. 2. 3 Thence also, as a preliminary the Time at which Stock would be at par without the benefit of the measure. p 2 4 Difficulty of forming any such calculations. p. 2 5 Operation substituted to it - enumeration of the several influencing causes that appear to affect the price - viz: p. 3 6 I Causes of elevation varieties in their mode of action. p. 3. } Ch. < > Advant. Financ. Present War-Loans 7. Causes of elevation I. Diminishing Annuities. 1. First Sinking Fund 2. War d o 3. Land Tax Sale 4 Income Tax 5. Contingent Surplus Fund 6 Negative cause - the reduction in the amount of money annually to be raised, viz: by the Income Tax II. Encreasing Money 1. Surplus of National Industry above expenditure 2. £2 & £1 Bank Notes. p. 4 { 8 Assumed price of Stocks at the time of contracting for the Loan of 1801 - 65. p. 5. 9 Other Assumptions relative to the circumstances of the Loan of 1801 1. Office opened 1 Jan. y 2. Contract or Loan Day 26 Mar. 3. Loan £20,500,000 4. Stock price. sans[?] Issue. 65 5. Year’s issue to 1 Jan 1802 £10, +000,000 6. Stock price 26 Mar. from expectation of issue 60 /70/ 7. Stock-price 1 Jan y or 26 Mar 1802 --------- 85 8 + Petty Hoarders 2,500,000 9. 2 Flying 7,500,000 10. Result p. 6, 7. 1 Median Stock price for 1801 .... 75. 2. Stock bought in £13,333,333 3. Whereof taken out of the Market £10,000,000 4. d o Neat profit £3,333,333 5. Profit by 5 per Cent upon 20 ½ Millions being difference between 65 & 78 - £1,025,000 } { Ch. < > Advant Financ. Present War Loans. 11 A o 1802 D. Assumptions. p. 7 1. Contract or Loan day 26 Mar 2. Loan £20,500,000 3. Stock price, sans[?] Issue ...... 65 4. Year’s issue to 1 Jan. y 1803. £10,000,000 5. Whereof Petty 2,500,000 6. - Flying 7,500,000 7. Stock Rise from 1 Jan y 1802 to 26 Mar. viz from 85 5 8. Loan Price 26 March. 90 9. Price 1 Jan y. 1803 - 100 II. Result. p. 7. 1 Profit by Rise in Difference on £20,500,000 between 65 & 90 being 25 per Cent £5,012,500 2. Between price of the Year 85 & 100 ...................... 52½ 3. Stock bought in with £10,000,000 at 92½ 10,750,000 4. Profit by d o 750,000. 12 Assumptions A o 1803 1. Loan day 26 Mar 2. Loan price 200 3. D o sans issue 65 Results. p. 8 1. Profit on Loan price on 20,500,000 at 35 per Cent £7,175,000 D o on Stock bought in ............. 0 } { Ch. < > Advant. Financ. Present War Loans - 13 Recapitulation - Profit on Loans for and up to the five next apart of Years of War. p. 8 Profit OF each year UP TO each Year 1801 1,025,000 1,025,000 1802 5,012,500 6,037,500 1803 7,175,000 14,212,500 1804 7,175,000 21,387,500 1805 7,175,000 28,562,500 13 (a) These masses of profit are not in money but in Stock: but after the Loan of 1802 that makes no difference 14 Results assumed for illustration of the profit by sale of Note Annuities on the above supposition - p. 9. 1 […?] head this - Is it not deplaced or already employd? } { Ch. < > Advant. Financial Present-War Loans 15 Profit by saving on the interest of Exchequer Bills issued during the War p. 10 + + The Reduction have […?] further than others. 16 The rise in the price of Government Annuities will not diminish /take any thing from the quantity of/ the money that would otherwise be invested in the purchase of them. p. 11 17 For, capital can not be turned into any of the other channels of employment so promptly as into this. p. 11 It can neither be made productive so soon - nor so much as applied so soon. 18 Will the rise of price so much as take any thing from the amount of Annuities purchased? p. 12, 13.
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Title: [August 22 1800 + A 1 Ch. 6. Financial Advantages]Description: August 22 1800 + A 1 Ch. 6. Financial Advantages Period II x Type a little larger Period II .. From the arrival of Stock Annuities at par, to the redemption of the last portion of Stock Annuities; whereupon followed follows immediately the opening of the £ d issue of Annuity Notes, at the reduced rate of 2-3/8 per Cent. 1 1. Profit (in respect the shape of principal money) by Sale of Notes ceases: but, in the event of the nature of a fresh parcel of Stock Annuities revolves, and continues till the redemption of such Stock Annuities. See Ch. Justice . 7. Profit by interest unreceived continues: but the amount diminishes, by the amount of the quantity paper which will be of the paper absorbed out of the circulating mass, who kept by those who in hand for the purpose of income. By the continually increasing abundance of national capital, parts of capital form which an income is wished to be derived without trouble of management, the demand for government Annuities will during this whole period be in the increase; which by the operation of the Sinking Funds the quantity of it at market will be as continually diminishing. During the same period, when Note Annuities even derive their Stock Annuities viz: yielded a less rate of interest, than whose circumstances admitted of their dealing in Stock Annuities would not meddle with Note Annuities: but during the present period, Note Annuities are no dearer than Stock: — therefore ----
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