[Recapitulation]

11 Oct. 1801

Alarm

Ballance Recapitulation

3

25

Decrease of prices in any considerable and sensible degree is not desirable any more than encrease of prices

26

The an encrease produces loss to one part of the community, the other to another.

27

But the mischief which the community is exposed to suffer from encrease is beyond comparison greater than that it is exposed to suffer from decrease: for encrease, with the mischief attendant on it, has its limits.

28

The entire stoppage of the encrease of money would be productive to a certain degree of a decrease of prices

29

But the decrease capable of resulting from such a cause would never /hardly/ be considerable enough to be productive of a sensible degree of inconvenience.

30

It can no otherwise happen /be produced/ than by an encrease in the quantity of real wealth. It therefore can not outstrip the encrease in the quantity of real wealth. The encrease in the quantity of real wealth can scarcely be quick enough to produce any sensible inconvenience by encrease of

prices

30

prices: that is to produce in the compass of more[?] than an ordinary term has to run any such decrease in the prices of the products of agriculture as shall diminish in any sensible degree the means /[…?]/ of the farmer in respect of the payment of his rent.

31

It does not appear that the quantity of real wealth has more than doubled itself in the course of the last hundred years. But it must double itself before it can have produced a diminution to the amount of 50 per Cent in the quantities of money in the hands of farmers for the payment of their rents.

32

If the encrease in the population of Great Britain and Ireland is to be understood as kindled by the encrease in the quantity of subsistence capable of being raised within the local limits of the two Islands, it is impossible that the real wealth of the two Islands should ever rise to double its present amount, in any number of years, much less in another hundred years. For there remains, out of land susceptible of cultivation, double the quantity of land already brought into cultivation.

33

If therefore the quantity of real wealth were to double itself in the hundred years, the virtual income tax thus imposed on the farmers would not, if /although/ it were subject to no deductions exceed the amount of 10 per Cent: for the three rents which on the ordinary computation the farmer must and does produce it is one only that he will have to turn into money for producing the same […?] sum of money every year for paying the Landlord’s Rent: for the rest, though he will receive less money a quantity of money decreased[?] in the proportion supposed, yet as the value of it will encrease

in

33

in the same proportion, he will be no loser upon these two parts: that portion of them which is consumed by him and his family in kind included.

34

At the end of the /such/ 20 years it will not therefore have amounted to more than £3: 6 s 8 per cent upon his income: and as the encrease of the tax during that time will have been gradual, the average amount of it for each and every year of the term will be no more than £1: 13 s: 4.

35

The amount of this tax is no greater than what may be expected to receive in the time a full compensation in /from/ the improvements that will have been made in agriculture, and if it should

not

35

not receive any compensation, the amount of it /its pressure on the particular class/ is scarce worth regarding when compared either with that of the pressure to which all classes have been accustomed or with the encrease on the aggregate of the national wealth as composed of the wealth of all classes together which it must have had for its accompaniment, having had that and nothing else for its cause.

36

As it has happened, the encrease in the quantity of real wealth has been accompanied with an encrease in the quantity of money for some centuries. But this consideration is altogether an accidental one.

37

Neither, if I have been rightly informed would it be found, if we were to go back to a certain period be found a uniform or constant one, for in the history of this country there have been different periods during which prices have been upon the decrease.

38

What the encrease of real wealth really depends upon, as far as money is concerned, is the encrease in the proportion /ratio/ quantity of money employd in one way to the quantity of money employd in another way: the ratio

of

38

of the quantity employd /applied/ in paying labour employed in encreasing the quantity of stock constituting the /a/ source of real wealth, to the quantity employd in paying labour employd in drawing wealth for the purposes of quick and annual consumption from those sources.
Similar Items
  • Title: [[Recapitulation] 11 Oct 1801]
    Description: [Recapitulation]

    11 Oct 1801

    Alarm

    Ballance Recapitulation

    Upon the whole, the truth of the following propositions, some old, some new, will, I am inclined to think be found pretty well established.

    1

    That the value of the mass of the pretious metals in the way of use of a /the/ mass of pretious metals possessed by a nation does encrease with the quantity.

    2

    That the value of it in the way of exchange as between individual and individual in /within/ the nation does not encrease with the quantity.

    3

    That the value in the way of exchange of the mass of the pretious

    4

    That in acquiring a fresh value in the way of exchange by being converted into money (into a form given it for the purpose of adapting it in a special manner to the business of exchange) a mass of the pretious metals loses for so long as it continues in the shape of money all value in the way of use.

    5

    That a nation /government/ which endeavours to perpetuate the existence of a mass of money in the shape of coin and to perpetuate its continuance within the country in that shape in proportion as it succeeds in such its endeavours, destroys utterly the value of so much of the pretious metals.

    6

    That in the case of an individual, true it is, that even in the shape of money, the value of the mass he possesses of the pretious metals does encrease with /in exact proportion with/ the quantity of an undiminished ratio with the quantity, because as the quantity of his particular share in the mass encreases, so does its proportion to the whole of the general or aggregate mass of money, the value of which or of so much as is employd in a given time in buying and selling things, is always exactly equal to the aggregate value of the things bought and sold within that time.

    7

    But that this equality as between encrease of quantity and encrease of value in exchange, depends upon the non-encrease in value on the part of the masses respectively possessed by other individuals members of the same community: for if the quantity of each man’s mass encreases in the same proportion in the same time, neither his mass nor theirs will experience any encrease in value

    8

    That the inference that because the share of the individual - each individual - encreases in value as it encreases in magnitude so must that of the nation is a natural but not a just one but a compleatly erroneous one because in the case of an individual, as his particular share encreases in magnitude, so it does in its proportion to the whole. This is not the case with the aggregate mass belonging to the whole nation (composed of the several particular masses belonging to the several individuals) because its proportion is at all times the whole, and can never be either less or greater.

    9

    Be the quantity of the whole mass of money employ’d in buying and selling things ever so small the value of it will always be equal to the value of all the things equal to the buying of all the things and be the quantity of it ever so large, it can never buy more than all.

    10

    The overplus could buy other things from other nations, if it could be reserved and exclusively appropriated to that use: but that can never be: as it spreads in the nation it spreads among the vendible things offered to sale within this nation, and employs itself in encreasing the powers of the national stock of things that are within reach: there is little or none of the overplus left for the purchase of foreign things. It is the care of governments by their taxes and prohibitions that it shall not be so employd.

    11

    That it is by the encrease in the mass of real capital, and not by an encrease in the mass of money that an encrease is produced in the mass of real serviceable wealth and that by the encrease of the mass of money taken together the mass of real capital does not receive any encrease.

    12

    That as far as money is encreased the encrease of real wealth depends upon the encrease of the proportion of the money employd in the shape of capital: but that the encrease of this proportion

    depends

    depends not upon the absolute quantity of money so employd but upon the proportion between the quantity of money employd in that shape, and the quantity employd in other shapes.

    13

    That a decrease in the quantity /national stock/ of money would if it were rapid enough to deprive in any sensible degree persons under pecuniary engagements for terms of years of the faculty /means/ of fulfilling those engagements, would in that respect be productive of inconvenience and a source of loss not compensated for by any attendant gain.

    14

    But that no such sudden decrease can obtain in the course of trade.

    15

    That if the quantity of money in a country were so fixed as to be prevented from encreases while the quantity of things vendible not being prevented from encrease would encrease of course, a decrease to a proportionable amount would take place in respect of the faculty of fulfilling pecuniary engagements for terms of years, but that no such decrease arising from such cause could be rapid enough to produce any sensible degree of inconvenience.
  • Title: [1 Nov. 1800 Paper Mischief]
    Description: 1 Nov. 1800

    Paper Mischief

    Ch. IV. Mischief Proved

    {7}/8/

    The very fact of a rise of prices, when rightly considered, furnishes a proof - a short /summary/ but sufficiently conclusive proof - that the encrease of money has not been /it is not the encrease of money that has been/ productive of any encrease in the quantity of other wealth. Prices have risen 50 per cent: that is the same quantity of wealth that before the rise would have been sold for no more than £100 /£150/ million, now sells for £150 /£225/ million: take away then the the nominal addition produced to the nominal amount of the mass of other wealth by the encrease of money, there remains the real amount the same and no more as if the money had never come into the circulation.
  • Title: [4 Novr.1800 Brouillon Paper]
    Description: 4 Novr.1800

    Brouillon

    Paper Mischief

    1*/5

    * [Column 1]

    Sinking Fund if a self-supporting Fund = Redemption of debt.

    Provision is made by Government for the removal of the load of debt at the end

    of a period of 40 or 50 years: Why not against[?] a cause of impoverishment of

    ([...?] partial as to classes affected) so much more powerful than national

    debt?

    Vendible

    1. Individual

    2. Aggregate

    Aggregate

    1. Physical—Land & Building

    2. Ideal. Annuities &c.

    Prefat. 1. Introd. Co-effects become[?] indexes—

    When political economy is thoroughly understood and the relations between the

    several phænomena/the matters of fact which constitute the subject matter of it

    is clearly made out, and effects branching out from one & the same cause,

    are traced to this their source each one of every such system of connectd

    effects, will serve as a diagnostic and index to the rest.

    By this means by means of a few [...?]/matters of fact [...?] public[?] in their

    nature to be concealed, the eye of the politician may be able to penetrate into

    the unknown[?] [...?] of affairs in a hostile state.

    [Column 2]

    Coining-Quasi

    It is time to reclaim this stray prerogative which has thus long and thus

    incautiously been suffered/to be [...?]/left in the hands of individuals.

    The robbery committed by Bankers is peculation pro ratâ

    A distinction that whether observed or no ought never to be unobserved by

    criminalists, is that between peculation in toto and peculation pro ratâ. The

    crime of Bankers, if it were one belongs to the latter head.

    Revolution

    A revolution in property—of the quiet kind—and yet setting aside the mischief of

    disturbance &c little less extensive than the most turbulent ones known.

    Fixed reduction of General rate of Interest.

    Produces the mischief of encrease of money without the benefit.

    [Column 3]

    Price—measure of

    The price of a particular article may rise to any degree without any addition to

    the quantity of money in the country: do of all articles, not: but only in

    proportion to the money.

    No addition to the quantity of money would raise prices, supposing the addition

    to wealth proportionable: therefore from the absolute addition to money must be

    deducted the quantity equivalent to wealth, in estimating the cause and measure

    of the rise.

    Money Increase Ê Interest Decrease

    An excess in the quantity of money serves to counter balance and check the

    mischief resulting from the reduction of the rate of interest, which arises out

    of the augmentation in the quantity of stock.

    French Assignats

    Produced the effect of money according to the price they were taken at

    [Column 4]

    Prices—how obtained

    The quantity of money in circulation i:e: actually employd in buying can never

    be worth more or less than quantity of commodities bought with/by it

    The price of any sort of goods in two different years is the same thing with the

    quantities of money given in the two respective years for the same quantity of

    goods.

    Therefore if in the second year the price of goods is double what it was in the

    first) it follows and shews that the same quantity of money was in the second

    year worth in goods but half of what it was in the first: if the whole of one[?]

    quantity of money was worth the whole quantity of goods, the half of the money

    is/was worth but the half of the goods of the same year and a given sum in the

    second year was worth but half what

    [Column 5]

    what the same sum was worth in the first year.

    A. Smith

    Admitted that paper may have a tendency in a certain degree to expell cash but

    not to its own amount: and so much as it fails of expelling to its own amount by

    so much it must rise prices

    It tends to expell cash—because as money grows cheap in the country and other

    vendible commodities grow dear in proportion to what they are in other

    countries, it becomes advantageous to send the money out to other countries in

    exchange for goods. This is particularly the case of provisions of which the

    real cost of production can not be so much diminished by machines as that of

    Cloaths and furniture.

    But in England this tendency is counteracted at both ends—

    1. by the laws against exporting cash.

    2. —against importing provisions.

    [Column 6]

    {A. Smith’s position is disproved to intuitive certainty by the simple fact of

    the rise of prices}

    What are the prices meant?

    The prices given by consumers, the ultimate prices—or those given by Dealers the

    intermediate or preliminary prices. or both together?

    Semble the ultimate: these are what bear ration to income—so that the sum of

    them is equal to the sum of income minus money saved and unemployd[?]

    These ultimate prices, are the only prices felt.

    The intermediate if they did not fall upon the ultimate would do no harm:—but

    that is impossible.

    No addition to wealth can be effected by any addition to money any otherwise

    than by encreasing the proportion of enriching to impoverishing expenditure.

    But in as much as fresh-inflowing paper money is added

    [Column 7]

    added in the first instance to capital i:e: employd in enriching expenditure,

    does it not appear from hence that paper money adds something to wealth upon the

    whole.

    Error Sources.

    {1. Case of individuals.

    2. Sophistry of the language detracting from the value of paper money

    3. —and of metallic money.

    4. Accidental connection between encrease of money metal and paper and encrease

    of wealth.}

    5. Money raisable by paper which could not have been raisable without. ex. gr.

    Bank of England. It is a mode of taxing without possibility of opposition to the

    tax.

    Coin

    Forbidding export or melting of coin was in fact an act of Bankruptcy—stripping

    the metal of its value—and reducing it to the condition of bad paper.

    [Column 8]

    A case might be put in which an addition to the quantity of money shall be not

    merely accompanied by, but productive of an addition to wealth: and this without

    any addition to prices or at least without a proportionable addition to

    prices.

    But the case thus put would not quadrate with the real state of things in

    England.

    Suppose money imported into the Scotch[?] Isles and employd[?] in fisheries.

    Cases as between money and wealth.

    1. Wealth encreasing money encreasing in the same proportion—No rise.

    2. Wealth encreasing money encreasing in greater proportion—Rise.

    3. Wealth encreasing. money encreasing but in less proportion—No rise but

    fall.

    4. Wealth encreasing—money decreasing—Greater fall.

    [Column 9]

    Cases continued

    1. Wealth decreasing money decreasing in the same proportion—No fall

    2. Wealth decreasing—Money decreasing in greater proportion—Rise.

    3. Wealth decreasing—money decreasing but in a less proportion—No fall—but Rise.

    Return of a state of things in which money should be stationary or

    decreasing—

    If the decrease were gradual no inconvenience would ensue—The[?] Rents would be

    lowered—but prices of provisions would have been lowered first {Goods being

    sold} The money as well as real price of exportable goods being lowered goods

    would be exported to a larger amount or a revenue might be drawn from foreign

    nations by taxes on Exports

    [...?] bread basket stops.

    [Column 10]

    Data as between 2 points of Time 1750 & 1800

    1. Quantity of wealth.

    2. Quantity of money less—equal—or greater

    3. Prices—higher—equal—or lower.

    Known antecedently

    1. Wealth/Income of 1750

    2. Wealth/Income of 1800

    3. Prices of 1750

    4. Prices of 1800

    5. Money of 1750

    Known by inference

    6. Money of 1800

    Cases continued

    1. Wealth stationary money stationary. No rise nor fall.

    2. Wealth stationary—money encreasing. Rise

    3. Wealth stationary money decreasing—Fall.