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11 Sept 1803
Evidence
Ch. [...?]
Instructions
Considerations in terminis [?]
[...?] Improbabilities
C Considerations proper to be borne in mind in judging of the weight of evidence
the cause of distrust /suspicion/ - Improbability of the fact deposed to.
The improbability of a fact in itself may be considered as a sort of counter-testimony - a sort of circumstantial evidence operating in contradiction to any direct evidence by which the fact in question would otherwise be considered as proved.
The improbability of a fact may rise to such a degree as to render it absolutely incredible, incapable of being proved to the satisfaction of him who thinks of it, if not by any evidence, at least by any such evidence, as is actually adduced in proof of it.
If the inference drawn from the improbability of the fact, viz: that it is not true be just: i:e: if notwithstanding the evidence /testimony/ by which the existence /truth/ of it is asserted it really was not true the fault must lie either in the inferences deduced from the testimony or in the testimony itself. If the testimony itself was to such a degree positive as to assert the existence of the matter of fact in question in direct term, then the fault can not lie in the inference deduced from the testimony by the Judge but must be in the testimony itself. The testimony must have either incompleat or false or both: though if as above it were to a certain degree positive, as above, there may be no room for charging it with being incompleat, and if the fact so asserted be false, the testimony by which the existence /reality/ of it was asserted must necessarily have been in some circumstance or other false. But as an assertion made by a man may be false without his being conscious of its being so, such falsity is not of itself proof of perjury. /may very well have place without perjury./
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Title: [18 Sept 1803 Evidence Instructions]Description: 18 Sept 1803 Evidence Instructions Considerations 2. Pecuniary interest A pecuniary interest, to act in the character of a cause of seduction falshood upon the mind of the witness, and thence upon the testimony /his testimony/ he exhibits must be in existence at the very hour on which is he is occupied in the delivery of such his testimony: the good or evil dependent on decision for which his evidence is to furnish or help furnish a ground, must be still in prospect and not in possession, at that time. Whether at the time at which the fact in question presented itself or is supposed to have presented itself to his cognizance the interest was or was not in existence, makes to this purpose no material difference. Although the interest were in existence, and his affections consequently /accordingly/ exposed to the action of it at the time, yet if at the time of giving his testimony that interest is no longer in existence, its action on his affections is at an end, his testimony is no longer exposed to be influenced by it. Although at the time when the fact presented itself to his cognizance the interest were not then in existence, and /nor/ his affection accordingly exposed to the action of it, yet if at the time of giving his testimony the interest were /be/ in existence, and his affections exposed accordingly to the action of it, his testimony is as much or nearly as much exposed to be influenced by it, as if it had already been in existence at the time when the fact presented itself to his cognizance.
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Title: [28 Feb 1803 Evidence Exclusion]Description: 28 Feb 1803 Evidence Exclusion in general To justify the establishment of the rule, in the character of an efficient cause of truth - to justify the regarding it as an institution the effect of which will be productive of the effect /result/ aimed at by the system of procedure oftener than of the contrary result - observe the supposition that must be made. It must be supposed in the first place that, in the aggregate of the cases to which the rule of exclusion applies, perjury will be more frequent than veracity: and they in respect to each proportion - with distinguishable fact and circumstance depend[?] to. and this in spite of the [...?] notwithstanding the influence of the docimastic process. Nor yet is this all: for a further supposition that must be added, is - that the cause on which perjury is not only committed, but committed with success will be more numerous than the cases in which the testimony thus admitted is true, and obtains the credit which by the supposition is due to it /its due/, after the deduction /deducing/ of those in which it fails of obtaining this credit which by the supposition is due to it. The improbability of this balance[?] on the side of successful perjury will, I am inclined to think /I trust/, appear in stronger and stronger colours, as the enquiry advances. Suppose /the intention to commit/ perjury to be in these cases as common as but not more common than the intention to adhere to truth - on this supposition the mischievousness of these rules must be admitted beyond a doubt. For in this case, can it be supposed that the influence of the docimastic process in the testimony added to that of the sagacity of /displayed by/ the Judge in weighing it will not be sufficient to use [...?] this scale? To suppose this we must suppose two things - 1. that cross-examination and the other operations in the docimastic process operate not in any degree as a check to false testimony - 2. that truth stands no better chance for being believed than falsehood, and that no attempt at imposition in this way is ever detected by the Judge. But this supposition is in direct contradiction to continual experience.
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Title: [14 Sept 1803 Evidence Instructions]Description: 14 Sept 1803 Evidence Instructions Considerations in [...?] Improbability When a fact is considered as being to such a degree improbable, as not to be capable of being proved by any quantity even of the best evidence it is commonly termed impossible. Improbability or impossibility it or their physical, that is natural or moral fact is /may be/ said to be physically improbable, when it is considered as being inconsistent with the established and known order of things with any of those rules and propositions which have been deduced from the universal /general/ observation of mankind, and are termed laws of nature, such as for instance that which asserts as a known matter of fact, the weight or gravity of all the bodies that we see in, upon or near to this our earth: that property whereby if a man jumps up from the surface of the earth, he feels himself drawn down again. A fact is said to be morally improbable, when it is considered as being inconsistent with the known course of human conduct. This species /sort/ of improbability is confined to such facts as take place /have their place/ in the human mind: such as the harbouring /entertaining/ of such and such perceptions, conceptions, intentions, wishes: the being actuated by such and such motives, under the existing circumstances of the case. The degree of distrust produced in the breast of a Judge by the improbability of the alledged fact, when that improbability is of the physical kind, as above, will depend upon the confidence he has in his own knowledge respecting the powers and order of nature so far as the particular fact in question is concerned. if he have any doubt, he will do well to have recourse to scientific evidence: to call in the opinion of such persons as by their professional situation or reputation are pointed out to him as being particularly well informed in relation to matters of that sort. Thus suppose upon the testimony of two witnesses a demand made upon a man for money in satisfaction for damage done to a gardens ground by the fall of the first inhabited air-balloon that ever was and by reflection on the weight of bodies supposed the Judge to have been inclined to disbelieve the testimony, on the ground of the apparent improbability of the fact. In such case he would have done well to call in the opinion of some lecturer or lecturer on natural philosophy. And accordingly supposing him so to have done, he would have learnt from them that there was really no inconsistency between what he had always observed and heard concerning the heaviness of bodies in general, and what the witnesses had been [...?] concerning the extraordinary lightness of the particular body so raised.
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